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Exact Inference

Context

  • By default, BayesiaLab constructs a Junction Tree from the given Bayesian network to perform Exact Inference.
  • BayesiaLab constructs a Junction Tree as you switch from Modeling Mode F4 to Validation Mode F5 for a given Bayesian network model for the first time.
  • Constructing such a Junction Tree can be very time and memory-consuming depending on the network size and complexity.
  • However, once the Junction Tree is constructed, performing inference is very quick.
  • Whenever you modify your network, i.e., structure or parameters, BayesiaLab needs to recreate the entire Junction Tree again.

Usage

  • You can specify to use Exact Inference by selecting Menu > Inference > Exact Inference.

  • By default, Exact Inference is active whenever you build or learn a new Bayesian network.
  • In certain cases, the memory requirements or the expected computing time for creating the Junction Tree can be prohibitive.
  • If you switch from Modeling Mode F4 to Validation Mode F5 in such a situation, BayesiaLab may display a warning and offer you several options depending on the severity of the situation:
ConditionExact Inference will be very time-consumingExact Inference will not be possible
Options
Continue with Exact Inference- You can still proceed with Exact Inference despite the warning.
- However, you may face a long wait or encounter system stability issues.
n/a
Use the Automatic Structural Complexity Reducer- You can take advantage of the Automatic Complexity Reducer, which removes less important arcs in the network.
- To do so, the Automatic Complexity Reducer uses the dataset associated with the current network — or generates one according to the probability distributions — to compute the importance of each arc in the network.
- The Automatic Complexity Reducer deletes the least important arcs until Exact Inference becomes possible in terms of memory and computation time.
- The Automatic Complexity Reducer concludes its process by displaying a report listing all arcs that were deleted.
- You can take advantage of the Automatic Complexity Reducer, which removes less important arcs in the network.
- To do so, the Automatic Complexity Reducer uses the dataset associated with the current network — or generates one according to the probability distributions — to compute the importance of each arc in the network.
- The Automatic Complexity Reducer deletes the least important arcs until Exact Inference becomes possible in terms of memory and computation time.
- The Automatic Complexity Reducer concludes its process by displaying a report listing all arcs that were deleted.
Go back to Modeling Mode- You can return to the Modeling Mode F4 so you can modify the network yourself.n/a
Switch to Approximate Inference- Using Approximate Inference avoids the memory problem but sacrifices inference precision. Also, many types of analyses in BayesiaLab only work with Exact Inference.- Using Approximate Inference avoids the memory problem but sacrifices inference precision. Also, many types of analyses in BayesiaLab only work with Exact Inference.

Bear in mind that most of BayesiaLab’s analysis tools and functions require Exact Inference. They will not work with Approximate Inference.

Exact Inference – Bayesia